Research on the Impact of Green Credit on the Resilience of Agricultural Industry Chain Based on Panel Data

Abstract

Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning 2010-2021, this paper constructs a resilience index system for the agricultural industry chain, encompassing three dimensions: resistance, recovery and innovation, using the entropy weight method. A fixed-effects panel model is employed to investigate the direct impact, mediating pathways, and moderating mechanisms of green credit on agricultural industry chain resilience. The empirical findings reveal that green credit significantly enhances resilience, particularly in non-major grain-producing regions. Technological innovation and industrial integration serve as important mediators, while agricultural digitalization plays a significant moderating role. These results suggest that optimizing green credit policies by improving financial support systems, strengthening the synergy between technological innovation and industrial integration, and accelerating digital transformation that can effectively foster a greener and more resilient agricultural industry chain.